Have a Good Winter (Hopefully Not the Nuclear Kind)!
A friend accused me of belonging to מיום שחרב בית המקדש ניטלה נבואה מן הנביאים וניתנה לשוטים ולתינוקות for saying something about current events.
But it’s about seeing what is in front of our noses right now, not in the future.
As we wrote once before:
All justified, true predictions rely on seeing glimmers of upcoming trends in the present. This is true for technical analysis and strategic analysis, in seismology and meteorology (hopefully), in Austrian economics, and also in various forms of fortune telling (on the majority Jewish view these can be authentic).
As the homily goes on the present-tense language in the mishna (Avos 2:9): הרואה את הנולד, what was already born.
Fools, by contrast, cannot understand (or mentally evade understanding) even the past (cf. Zhou Enlai’s “too early to say”), perhaps even the long-past past.