To Protect Us From Invaders, We Are Invaded by the Protecters

The World We Are Losing

North’s law of bureaucracy is as follows:

“There is no government regulation, no matter how plausible it initially appears, that will not eventually be applied by some bureaucrat in a way that defies common sense.”

For a regulation that makes considerable sense, it may take months or even years for the right bureaucrat to come along. But not always.

Last Friday evening, my wife returned from a trip to California. On Saturday, she began to unpack her bag. Not bags — just one relatively small one. It actually fits in an overhead bin. For the sake of this report, I’m glad that she didn’t do that with this bag.

She noticed that the edge of the bag was torn. I thought this might have been the work of the famous gorilla in the old American Tourister luggage TV commercial. But then she said, “the lock is broken.” I told her: “It’s probably the new flight security rules that went into effect on January 1. The inspectors broke the lock and got into the bag.”

She opened it. Sure enough, she found a slip of paper. I reprint it here.

Transportation Security Administration

Notification of Baggage Inspection

To protect you and your fellow passengers, the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) is required by law to inspect all checked baggage. As part of this process, some bags are opened and physically inspected. Your bag was among those selected for physical inspection.

During the inspection, your bag and its contents may have been searched for prohibited items. At the completion of the inspection, the contents were returned to your bag, which was resealed with a tamper-evident seal.

If the TSA screener was unable to open your bag for inspection because it was locked, the screener may have been forced to break the locks on your bag. TSA sincerely regrets having to do this, and has taken care to reseal your bag upon completion of inspection. However, TSA is not liable for damage to your locks resulting from this necessary security precaution.

As for the slash in the bag, who knows? The gorilla left no note of explanation.

You had better calculate this travel expense into the budgets of your flights from now on.

Upstairs in the terminal gates, the security people make searches of passengers. Searches are required to be random, for to go after some of Ann Coulter’s famous “swarthy men” would be to violate people’s rights on a racial basis, which is not allowed, rather than violating people’s rights on a non-racial basis, which is required by law. So, to maintain the illusion of randomness in a world of surveillance cameras, government data bases, and other profiling technologies, they have to conduct random searches.

During World War II, the British cracked the Germans’ military code. The Brits knew the times and routes of the oil tankers that were to supply Rommel’s forces in Africa. To keep the Germans from figuring out that their code had been broken, the British would send a reconnaissance plane, which would make itself visible to the men on the tankers, and then run for cover. The plane would send a message announcing the whereabouts of the tanker. The Germans on the tanker would conclude that they had been spotted from the air. What bad luck! If they radioed home, they would tell the command that they had been spotted. Then a British submarine would sink the tanker. The Germans never did alter the code.

The reconnaissance plane was part of the deception. So are the random searches of passengers and bags. They are to provide camouflage: (1) from voters who demand action; (2) from lawyers who might otherwise initiate lawsuits on behalf of their swarthy clients — on the basis of racial profiling. Anyone who really expects searches like these to protect airliners is so abysmally dense that he might as well be a Congressman.

The other purposes of the new surveillance system relate more to controlling average people than catching terrorists.

BROKEN LOCKS

It is obvious that it’s time to sell your high-priced Samsonite luggage at a garage sale and use the money to buy a replacement bag at the local Salvation Army. If you don’t, then don’t lock the bag. If you have a really secure bag, it’s going to be a target. The airline baggage handling systems have been under fire from Congress. So, in order to prove that they’re on the job, the security people are going to have their lock picks and lock clippers in full-time use.

The public will probably roll over and play dead. To complain would be to call into question the Homeland Security program and the steady jettisoning of the right of privacy. The agents of the government are becoming invasive on the official basis of protecting us from terrorism. Yet the enormous security state that had been created after World War II proved incompetent with respect to 9-11. So, it is being rewarded with larger budgets and more power.

In the name of protecting us from invaders, our privacy is being invaded by the protectors. There is not much doubt that the voters accept this rationale. Men have been assured by governments down through history, “An honest person has nothing to hide.” Are we also to believe that an honest person has no need for locks on his luggage?

It’s not just luggage locks. It is also locks on our communications, such as our e-mail. A vast surveillance system already exists. Cameras located on highways monitor automobile licenses. The city of London is about to launch a major experiment : photographing the license plates of the 250,000 cars that enter the central part of the city every day, comparing these images to a data base of car owners who have paid a five pound per day entrance fee. We know that the technology exists to monitor faces in stadium-size crowds. In airports around the world, video cameras survey faces and match them with a data base of suspected terrorists and criminals. Don’t call it profiling. Call it mug-shotting. The world portrayed in the recent movie, “Minority Report,” where private and public eyeball-recognition software is universal, is already here in terms of the absence of legal restraints. Iris-recognition technology now exists in an early form. An initial market is airport security.

As the price of anything falls, more of it is demanded. In this category place surveillance. As the price of anything rises, less of it is demanded. In this category place privacy. At some price, it’s available, but the price is too high for most people. The very rich use these techniques. Criminals use them. Tax-evaders use them. But innocent people don’t.

So, what do we learn from these two laws of economics? This: the new technology will lower the surveillance-per-victim cost. This technology will be used on innocent people. When organizations buy this equipment, they will use it. They must justify the expense. But to put this equipment to use, the managers must re-define what constitutes suspicious behavior. That which used to be regarded as unsuspicious — at the older, higher price of surveillance — will now be defined as suspicious.

This is not mere theory. It is happening now. Every time we go into an airport, we can see the future.

We are told by officials that we need a national identification card. We already have one: a driver’s license with a photo image. Try to get onto an airplane if you don’t have one. Did this system prevent 9-11? Of course not. But it gets Americans to line up. This is the desire of every bureaucrat: to get people to line up. If scarce resources are not allocated by price, they must be allocated by standing in line. Bureaucrats don’t allocate by price — at least not in public.

MONEY TRANSFERS

Americans think they can hide money in foreign accounts. With the steady erosion of banking privacy in international markets, it is becoming expensive and difficult to hide the movement of digital money. I think it is close to impossible, especially since 9-11. This is why Al-Qaeda and other Islamic terrorist groups don’t use wire transfers. Islam has an ancient system of credit-transfer that is not digital. The system is called hawala. There is a complex body of law governing the exchanges.

http://www.library.cornell.edu/colldev/mideast/hawdrft.htm

The acknowledged masters of foreign exchange are Jews who are involved in the international diamond trade. All transactions are in cash. All are sealed by verbal contracts. There is an industry-wide court system. No member of the guild ever takes a compatriot into the civil courts. Violations mean exclusion from the guild. This system has been operating for a thousand years. Magna Carta? Late-comers!

http://edwardjayepstein.com/diamond/chap8.htm

If you use cash, you forfeit interest payments. But at 1% per annum, this return may not be worth forfeiting the use of currency. The price of remaining in currency is falling. The benefits in terms of privacy and buying things at a discount are rising. We do not see this, but we can surmise on the basis of economics that it exists on the black market. This is a market without taxes. The average guy isn’t in this market. The main participants are poor people, working-class immigrants, and rich people who are involved in illegal or unreported trades.

That’s why the average Joe is the real target of all this recent clamp-down in security. The system is aimed at him because it’s cheaper to aim it at him. Like the drunk who searches for his dropped key in the area close to the street lamp, so is the government’s new system of surveillance. The drunk won’t find his lost key, but at least he won’t risk tripping in the dark. Bureaucrats don’t get into trouble for not finding keys. They risk hitting a brick wall in their careers when they trip in the dark. Their goal is to install more lampposts.

January 9, 2003

From Lewrockwell.com, here.

Some of Us Are Already Preparing Animals for Sacrifice…

Raising Sheep for the Beis Hamikdosh

  

At a small outpost on Har Chevron, Shabtai Kushlevski and his dedicated crew are raising sheep fit for korbanos to be ready when the Beis Hamikdosh is rebuilt.

Kushlevski says that today’s sheep are generally invalid for korbanos for a number of reasons, including the tags inserted in their ears almost the day they are born.

To cover costs, Kushlevski has arranged for sponsors. For $4 monthly, they will have a sacrificial sheep available the moment Beis Hamikdosh is rebuilt.

{Matzav.com Israel}

From Matzav.com, here.

‘Please, Don’t Drive a School Bus Blindfolded!’

The Improbable Prose of Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Taleb is the author of the international bestseller Fooled By Randomness and the blockbuster The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. The books largely overlap, but the second (the focus of the present article) is less liable to misunderstanding, probably because of confusion among readers of the first.

The black swan is a metaphor for the limits of our knowledge and, perhaps more important, our unfounded confidence in our knowledge. The metaphor draws on the familiar notion that before discovering counterexamples in Australia, people in the Old World would have been certain that all swans were white. To be more precise, Taleb lists three attributes of the black swan event his book addresses:

First, it is an outlier, as it lies outside the realm of regular expectations, because nothing in the past can convincingly point to its possibility. Second, it carries an extreme impact. Third, in spite of its outlier status, human nature makes us concoct explanations for its occurrence after the fact, making it explainable and predictable.

Both of Taleb’s books are filled with “fun facts,” just as Malcolm Gladwell fills his own (bestselling) work. Yet the difference is that Gladwell—in such romps as The Tipping Point and Outliers—never has much of a coherent theory for which his amazing anecdotes are relevant.

Taleb, on the contrary, tells us his thesis up front, then draws on his vast knowledge to illustrate his points. One of his central claims is that people place too much confidence in their estimates. Taleb stresses that the issue is not how smart or how dumb people are. “We certainly know a lot, but we have a built-in tendency to think that we know a little bit more than we actually do, enough of that little bit to occasionally get into serious trouble.”

Taleb strings together sentences of surprising profundity while packing his prose with interesting statistics and stories. When reading The Black Swan, I had to stop noting every “interesting” paragraph in the margins, lest I fill them up.

The book’s prologue alone is an interesting essay, containing such standalone gems as the following:

What is surprising is not the magnitude of our forecast errors, but our absence of awareness of it”; “We do not spontaneously learn that we don’t learn that we don’t learn. . . . Metarules (such as the rule that we have a tendency to not learn rules) we don’t seem to be good at getting”; “Who gets rewarded, the central banker who avoids a recession or the one who comes to ‘correct’ his predecessors’ faults and happens to be there during some economic recovery?

Taleb openly despises those in “suits”—very often mainstream economists or students of finance—who make predictions without bothering to study the record of their previous forecasts. Taleb declares, “Anyone who causes harm by forecasting should be treated as either a fool or a liar. Some forecasters cause more damage to society than criminals. Please, don’t drive a school bus blindfolded.”

Of perhaps most interest to the Austrian reader, Taleb champions Friedrich Hayek and mocks Paul Samuelson (who died in December). In a section titled, “They Still Ignore Hayek,” Taleb lauds the Austrian focus on the pretense of knowledge. Yet of Samuelson, the epitome of the neoclassical mainstream, Taleb issues harsh judgment indeed:

In orthodox economics, rationality became a straitjacket. Platonified economists ignored the fact that people might prefer to do something other than maximize their economic interests. This led to mathematical techniques such as “maximization,” or “optimization,” on which Paul Samuelson built much of his work. . . . I would not be the first to say that this optimization set back social science by reducing it from the intellectual and reflective discipline that it was becoming to an attempt at an “exact science.” By “exact science,” I mean a second-rate engineering problem for those who want to pretend that they are in the physics department—so-called physics envy. In other words, an intellectual fraud.

Coming from a philosopher (or an academic Austrian economist, for that matter), such criticism would not mean much to the so-called experts in various fields. Yet Taleb’s criticisms come with a harsh sting, for he is a respected contributor to the field of quantitative finance; Taleb (and a coauthor), for example, offered a more intuitive derivation of the Black-Scholes formula for option pricing.

Continue reading…

From FEE, here.

Sorry for Harping On This (NOT!): John McCain Was a Murderer!

Lies Cannot Hide the Dark Side of Reality

John McCain died Saturday, August 25, 2018. As expected, he is being lauded as a great American hero, is being called a special man, and being praised for his exemplary service to his country. More accolades are forthcoming, and the praise for this man coming out of Washington DC and its complicit media is rather sickening. In many cases, it is coming from the mouths of very suspect and evil political players. This is reprehensible.

Sometimes the truth hurts, but the truth is what matters the most. That is why it is of such great importance for all of us. Hiding from reality is not only shirking responsibility but can be very harmful to what is right and just.

So who was John McCain? Most know the McCain portrayed by the media; that of a war hero shot down in Vietnam only to become a POW in an unpopular war. In fact, that war was nothing more than brutal murder affected against innocent people. Most of his life revolved around this persona, that of his suggested misfortune, of a hero protecting his country, and of bravery in the face of torture and solitary confinement. This false picture of McCain put him in the limelight, helped him in business, and propelled him into a powerful political position for life. None of this was warranted. As I see it, he was a maniacal warmonger with an ego to match.

I am not attempting to analyze the life of John McCain here in these few words or go into any detailed accounting of his crimes, but only to unmask the false caricature of him portrayed by most of the media pundits. There is ample time now to expose the real John McCain, and to shed light on the dishonest eulogizing and glorification of this man so rampant in the news today.

McCain was a POW, and deserved that fate in my opinion. Unlike those young men forced into war by conscription, McCain voluntarily chose to murder the Vietnamese from high in the skies where he was not forced to see the heinous nature of his actions. For his efforts, he was shot down, captured, and held as a prisoner. There is much speculation about his time during capture, but we may never know the truth concerning all that happened while a prisoner. But what happened after his release is much more telling than his so-called heroism as a POW.

There is an enormous amount of evidence that McCain used his political power to hide the fact that prisoners held in Vietnam after the war did not exist. In other words, he purposely abandoned them. He gutted legislation meant to help prisoners, and he made ineffective the “Truth Bill” which would have made transparent the plight of missing prisoners of war. He did this by drafting his own bill, the  “McCain Bill,” which created a bureaucratic wall that blocked most documents that could have been released. Why would he do this? What was he attempting to hide? What was his motive?

John McCain had a checkered history of corruption, lying, and scandal. Regardless of his transgressions, he seemed always to escape mostly unscathed. Consider the Savings and Loan debacle and its consequences for so many. McCain was the most blameworthy of the Keating Five in my opinion, but he used his POW status and the media to not only get out of harm’s way, but to save his political career in the process. These are not the actions of an honest man.

No one in Congress was more committed to war than John McCain. His position concerning war and killing was constant throughout his life.  His dedication to war was beyond that of most brutal dictators, but his position as a U.S. Senator allowed him to be praised here at home for behavior that would be condemned anywhere else in the world. Hypocrisy at this level is disturbing to say the least.

So who can forget the frivolous nature of his call for war when he laughingly sang “Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran? That kind of outburst by McCain should not have been surprising, given that he was the consummate warmonger. He promoted aggressive war over his lifetime in countries including Bosnia, Kosovo, Georgia, North Korea, Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran, Syria, Kuwait, Libya, and Mali, among many others, and of course supported the war in Vietnam where he slaughtered innocents without remorse.

John McCain was no war hero, he was a war criminal. He was never a savior of “American values”, nor was he compassionate in life or politics. He had a violent temper, he was unmoving in his taste for killing, and he was corrupt. If the timing of this criticism seems harsh, so be it. The truth should not be foreign to us, especially now.

Lauding an unscrupulous politician upon his death, even as a simple matter of “respect,” is a deceitful practice clouded in lies. Without truth, more deceit follows, and more lies become evident. Honesty is the only proper way forward, so all should know the real John McCain.